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Demand/Risk Forecasting


Community Risk Reduction (CRR) has taught us the value of understanding the communities we serve, not simply react to their emergencies. However, the greatest failure of CRR is to assume that community risk remains static by the time of day, across the week, or throughout the seasons. For instance, we know that traffic moves differently in mornings versus evenings during the work week and the types of requests we receive also have a seasonal rhythm dictated by weather and daylight. What we are missing is an interface that allows us to model these dynamic forces and make appropriate decisions based on what we have available at the moment. No printed binder can contain all the possibilities! 


A dynamic risk model for a fire service should
​contain typical static variables including:
  • Age of Structures (probability of automated suppression devices or time to flash-over)  
​
  • Density of Structures (for fuel load calculations and exposure potential)
 
  • Zoning Characteristics (determine use patterns)
 
  • Hydrant Locations and Flow (time to establish a water source)
 
  • Street Network (to model response capabilities)

But the models we really need must also be able to integrate dynamic modifiers to these static conditions that could include: 
  • Real-time Traffic Sensors (to improve response estimates or navigation)
​
  • Dynamic Population Estimates (beyond census values of where people sleep)
​
  • School/Church/Theater Calendars (both daily and seasonal to know occupancy)
​
  • Weather Conditions (impacts to risk directly as well as response capabilities)
​
  • Stream Gauge Readings (recognizing risk increase or decrease for flood zones)


MARVLIS Demand Monitor offers the ability to weight layer combinations and a service to repeat them within the hour while Deployment Monitor provides a dynamic mapping interface to integrate resources with risk to describe coverage. Beyond being a simple “common operating picture”, MARVLIS provides a real-time decision engine to automatically evaluate options and present a best choice for action.

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TAKE THE RIGHT ACTION QUICKLY WITH MARVLIS!

Ph: 803.641.0960

Fax: 803.641.1919

2170 Woodside Executive Ct., Aiken, SC 29803

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  • MARVLIS
    • PSAP Operations Monitor
    • NETCall
    • Fire/Rescue
    • Forecast LE
    • Brochures
    • Press Releases
    • Videos
  • Products
    • MARVLIS
    • TheAddresser
    • Esri Software & Trimble Hardware
  • Services
    • Consulting
    • Custom Development
    • Implementation
  • Mobile GIS/GPS
  • Contact Us / Support
  • About
    • In The News
    • Awards
    • Videos
    • Partners
    • Industry Links
    • Brochures
    • Press Releases